Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#186
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#166
Pace67.5#215
Improvement-1.0#233

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#228
First Shot-1.9#245
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#167
Layup/Dunks-2.9#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement-3.1#301

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
First Shot+0.0#177
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks+1.8#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement+2.0#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 37.0 - 10.08.0 - 14.0
Quad 48.0 - 2.016.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-66 67%     1 - 0 +1.9 -2.6 +4.4
  Nov 10, 2018 54   @ Belmont L 89-100 11%     1 - 1 +0.8 +9.4 -7.4
  Nov 13, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 75-71 96%     2 - 1 -18.5 -11.2 -7.5
  Nov 19, 2018 115   Georgia L 68-80 30%     2 - 2 -8.1 -2.5 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2018 118   Akron W 73-68 31%     3 - 2 +8.7 +9.7 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2018 131   Boise St. W 73-70 34%     4 - 2 +5.7 +1.4 +4.3
  Nov 28, 2018 95   BYU W 92-89 OT 35%     5 - 2 +5.5 -1.6 +6.5
  Dec 01, 2018 104   San Diego St. L 65-75 37%     5 - 3 -8.1 -4.0 -4.2
  Dec 05, 2018 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 75-94 44%     5 - 4 -18.9 -1.7 -15.7
  Dec 08, 2018 41   Mississippi L 74-81 18%     5 - 5 +1.0 +3.6 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2018 289   Cleveland St. W 88-77 OT 79%     6 - 5 +1.0 -6.4 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2018 48   @ Central Florida L 56-77 9%     6 - 6 -7.8 -3.8 -6.1
  Jan 02, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso L 56-58 43%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -1.7 -10.3 +8.5
  Jan 05, 2019 223   Evansville W 58-46 68%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +5.7 -12.9 +19.4
  Jan 08, 2019 164   Northern Iowa W 70-69 56%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -2.1 +3.3 -5.3
  Jan 12, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-67 24%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +2.9 +5.2 -2.7
  Jan 15, 2019 143   Southern Illinois W 59-58 48%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -0.1 -9.0 +9.0
  Jan 19, 2019 223   @ Evansville W 78-70 47%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +7.3 +6.5 +0.8
  Jan 23, 2019 158   @ Bradley L 68-85 33%     10 - 9 4 - 3 -13.9 -0.5 -13.5
  Jan 27, 2019 202   Indiana St. W 76-62 65%     11 - 9 5 - 3 +8.7 +10.0 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2019 123   @ Drake W 69-55 23%     12 - 9 6 - 3 +20.1 +6.3 +15.4
  Feb 02, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago W 65-57 43%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +8.4 +2.4 +7.1
  Feb 05, 2019 200   Valparaiso L 53-69 64%     13 - 10 7 - 4 -21.3 -15.8 -6.7
  Feb 10, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. L 65-66 36%     13 - 11 7 - 5 +1.1 +3.7 -2.8
  Feb 13, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa L 64-77 35%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -10.5 +0.2 -12.0
  Feb 16, 2019 158   Bradley L 59-65 54%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -8.4 -4.7 -4.5
  Feb 20, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. L 50-73 43%     13 - 14 7 - 8 -22.8 -13.5 -13.2
  Feb 24, 2019 123   Drake W 67-60 42%     14 - 14 8 - 8 +7.6 -6.5 +14.0
  Feb 27, 2019 172   Missouri St. W 65-57 58%     15 - 14 9 - 8 +4.5 -3.9 +9.1
  Mar 02, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois L 63-72 28%     15 - 15 9 - 9 -4.6 -6.7 +2.1
  Mar 07, 2019 223   Evansville W 65-60 58%     16 - 15 +1.5 -7.7 +9.2
  Mar 08, 2019 123   Drake L 62-78 32%     16 - 16 -12.6 -8.7 -4.2
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%